Unofficial & Unauthorized ATP Champions Race of 2011

8 Aug

Is anybody else getting just a tad curious about which players will qualify for the Barclays ATP World Tour Finals in London at the O2 Arena in November? Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal have already qualified. Roger Federer and Andy Murray will surely follow soon to keep the Big 4 of the past few years in tact. While Soderling has been Top 5 for quite some time, his place in London is less secure than David Ferrer as you will see in the unofficial rankings below. It really is just a matter of time before the Spanish bulldog makes the quietest return to the Top 5 ever.

Let’s assume everybody listed above qualifies for the Tour Finals as they have in multiple years prior, but who will grab those last two spots? You may be surprised to see where things are shaking out at this moment since if there were an official Champions Race, it would vary greatly from the 52-Week Entry List rankings. Let’s sneak a peek at the Race as of 8/8/11 straight from my unofficial Excel spreadsheet:

Race Entry Player Name YTD Pts 2011 W-L
1 1 Novak Djokovic 9765 48-1
2 2 Rafael Nadal 7640 51-8
3 3 Roger Federer 4180 39-9
4 4 Andy Murray 3720 29-9
5 6 David Ferrer 3250 39-11
6 5 Robin Soderling 2135 38-9
7 10 Nicolas Almagro 1750 41-15
8 19 Juan Martin Del Potro 1665 36-10
9T 9 Tomas Berdych 1630 34-15
9T 16 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 1630 28-14
11 8 Mardy Fish 1560 29-15
12 11 Gilles Simon 1510 30-17
13 13 Richard Gasquet 1400 27-13
14 15 Victor Troicki 1370 32-16
15T 7 Gael Monfils 1340 25-10
15T 21 Alexandr Dolgopolov 1340 26-18

Similar to Messieur Monfils whose Race position of 15 is far lower than his 52-Week ranking of 7, both 12th ranked Andy Roddick and 14th ranked Mikhail Youzhny are lagging in the Race as they have so many ranking points from 2010 to defend. Conversely, Juan Martin and Jo Willy have a much better chance to qualify than their 52-week rankings indicate.

Who do you think will grab those last two spots. Will both Del Potro and Simon return to the Tour Finals just like they climbed up the rankings to the Top 8 back in 2008? Can Nicolas Almagro or Mardy Fish qualify for the first time? There is still plenty of tennis to be played in 2011, so it is quite possible someone outside this list will make the cut. Who are your dark horses?

Quick Hit: Does anybody else find it ironic that former Top 50 singles player Daniele Bracciali who is probably best known for being suspended by the ATP for gambling just won his second doubles title of the year in Kitzbuhel? Oh, did I forget to mention the tournament happens to be called the Bet At Home Open? Maybe Wayne Odesnik’s first title after his suspension will be at the HGH Classic.

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